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  • Hoe berekent de NS eigenlijk de prijs van je treinkaartje?
    Een enkele reis van 100 tariefeenheden kost in 2026 € 22,70. Hoe NS op dat bedrag komt, staat nergens. De officiële prijslijst geeft op pagina 6 tot en met 10 alleen een lange tabel, met per tariefeenheid een prijs. Ik heb geprobeerd de formule erachter terug te rekenen. De korte versie: een opstaptarief plus een…
  • Scams in Rome
    ROMA · TOURIST FIELD GUIDESCAM ALERT Don’t get played in Rome Rome is a safe city; its street tricks are just predictable. Know the script, smile, walk on. 1Nothing on the street is free 2Never hold out your hand 3Never bet on a street game 4Never stop for a clipboard 5Bag in front, phone away…
  • How I Track My Money Across Multiple Accounts, Currencies and Countries
    I work seasonal jobs in Europe and spend the winters in Southeast Asia, so my money lives in a Dutch current account, a savings account, a credit card, a multi-currency app, an online wallet, a money-transfer service and, most of the time, a wallet full of local cash. No budgeting app handles that well. Banks…
  • De camping die meer waard is als hij verdwijnt
    Waarom fondsen campings kopen die als camping bijna niets verdienen Hetzelfde stuk grond met dezelfde huisjes is voor de ene koper negen miljoen waard en voor de andere veertig. Dat verschil verklaart wat er met Nederlandse campings gebeurt. Jaarplaatsen verdwijnen, er komen chalets voor terug, en de nieuwe eigenaar heet Blackstone, PAI of het staatsfonds…
  • Building a walking-route finder for a campsite
    Every summer at Fabulous Village, the same question gets asked at reception a hundred times a day: “Which way to pitch 1104?” The official site plan is a lovely piece of graphic design, but it’s not a map you can search. So I built one — a small web app where you type in a…
  • The battle against the cocciniglia
    Nederlands hieronder – Italiano sotto Driving from Rome towards Ostia, you see it on both sides of the Cristoforo Colombo: grey crowns, bare branches, trees that have not looked well for some time but are still standing. The stone pines that have shaped Rome’s skyline for centuries are sick. Not everywhere, but in enough places…
  • Sharing an Instagram collection when Instagram won’t let you
    Instagram has a “Collections” feature — you can save reels and posts into named folders. Handy for yourself. Useless for anyone else, because there’s no way to share a collection with another person. No link, no export, nothing. I wanted to share a list of handstand, acro and Berlin reels with a few people without…
  • Hoeveel Nederland zit er in dertien regenmeters?
    Het KNMI berekent het landelijke neerslagtekort uit dertien stations. Op X kreeg ik te horen dat dat er veel te weinig zijn. Dus heb ik het uitgerekend. De discussie begon met een neerslagtekortgrafiek en liep zoals dat gaat op X. Mijn gesprekspartner, @dimgrr, hield vol dat je op dertien puntmetingen geen landelijke droogte kunt baseren:…
  • When “good enough” has no reward: rethinking cleaning contracts
    Improving Cleaning Quality Through Statistical Sampling and Performance Incentives It is hard to get a consistently high cleaning standard from an external company. The usual problem isn’t the people or the mops — it’s the incentive structure. Do well for months running, and nothing in particular happens: no recognition, no reward. Do badly, and often…
  • Hitte meet je niet met een thermometer
    Hoewel de thermometer in alle gevallen 29 graden aangeeft, voelt de hitte tijdens het hardlopen in Da Nang anders dan gedurende acroyoga in Chiang Mai — en weer anders dan als je een biertje op een Amsterdams terras drinkt.
  • Van correlatie naar causaliteit: hoe temperatuur de sterfte beïnvloedt — mechanismen, lag-effecten en limieten van het bewijs
    Vervolg op Sterfte vs temperatuur (november 2023) naar aanleiding van enkele vragen op X.com Samenvatting In het eerdere artikel werd op basis van KNMI- en Eurostat-data een V-vormige relatie tussen gemiddelde weektemperatuur en sterfte in Nederland gevonden, met een optimum rond 16,5 °C. De geschatte effectgrootte — ongeveer 1% minder sterfte per °C onder het…
  • How I Recovered a 30-Year-Old Password-Protected Word 6.0 File
    A few weeks ago I found a .doc file on an old backup drive. Created in 1994. Password protected. An old document I had written myself — and I had absolutely no idea what the password was anymore. Here’s how I got it back. Disclaimer: These techniques are for recovering your own files only. Applying…
  • I Built a Script That Sorts Thousand of Files by Topic Using Claude AI — for Less Than a Dollar
    I had a folder with thousands of PDFs. Invoices next to yoga manuals next to scanned maps next to bank statements. Filenames like xkbf2291.pdf and 00183774.pdf. No structure whatsoever. Manually sorting them wasn’t happening. So I built a Python script that reads each file, sends the content to Claude, and moves everything into topic folders…
  • Moderation guidelines – Whatsapp groups
  • DISNEYLAND PARIS : A Business Economics Case Study
    From “Cultural Chernobyl” to Europe’s Most-Visited Destination: Thirty-Four Years of Financial Struggles, Strategic Missteps, and Eventual Transformation An Academic Analysis for Business Economics Students Updated Edition — March 2026 Based on public sources, financial reports, and industry analysis Written bij ClaudeAI (Opus 4.6), 6 March 2026. Based on https://docs.google.com/document/d/1VxTnzYbbXulJK2ALJ_rbaxVVJb48olbf3Gfd7T0EwRA/edit?usp=sharing Executive Summary Disneyland Paris is a…
  • Vacansoleil : Van caravanverhuur in Son tot faillissement in Eindhoven
    Business case: hoe campingreus Vacansoleil viel — en wie de scherven oppakte € 2 miljoen voor een merk dat ooit op 600 campings prijkte. € 6,2 miljoen voor 3.700 stacaravans en tenten met een boekwaarde van € 13 miljoen. Op het moment van surseance € 5.401,76 in de kas. De ondergang van Vacansoleil is niet…
  • Role description Acroyoga Community Guide
    Location: Acroyoga Jam Type: Community role / facilitator Focus: Safety, connection, inclusion Your role As an Acroyoga Community Guide, you ensure the jam stays safe, joyful and welcoming. You move through the space, notice what’s happening and step in where needed. You help people grow and feel welcome. What you do 🛡️ Safety • Continuously…
  • General reminders to keep everyone flying high and landing safe
    Hello everybody, Because we recently welcomed a lot of new people, here a message I send regularly in the various communities with a few general reminders to keep everyone flying high and landing safe. * Safety and consent: We hold this space on respect, consent, and safety. Always be sure that you can touch and…
  • From SMA to LOESS
    Data Analysis · Climatology · Trend Methods · April 2025 The KNMI uses a LOESS span denominator of 42 to approximate a 30-year running average. But what if you want a different smoothing window? This article derives both the theoretical relationship and an empirical formula — and finds that the two are surprisingly different. Read…
  • Community values
  • Jam vs Training vs Classes
    There is time and place for everything. Sometimes there is overlap between the categories, but this is what you can expect Jams In principle, you don’t need experience to join the jams. However, please keep in mind that an acro jam is not the same as a class. There is no set teaching, progression, or…
  • Code of Conduct
    I think the Acrospirit Code of Conduct covers everything you need, without being too long or overly detailed.. Find more info and a PDF version here
  • People, Movement, and the Spaces Between
    Over the years, a rhythm formed in my life. Summers find me working seasonal jobs on campings in Europe, while winters pull me back to Asia. Different places, different cultures, yet always the same thread running through it all: people, movement, and the spaces we create together. I would not call myself a hardcore acroyogi….
  • Acroyoga community values
  • Acro spotting
    Infographic based on the text of Caspian Burell of AcroSpirit
  • How I spend time at the jams
  • Consent for images
  • Acroyoga safety
  • Acroyoga Community Dynamics
    Some people point to classes and workshops as the missing link. They help Level 1 and 2 progress faster. At the same time, many Level 4 and 5 have invested a lot of time, energy, and money in training, so they prefer not to offer the same guidance for free at every jam. Other critical…
  • Consent in Acroyoga
  • NVC in Acroyoga
  • Analysis of Student Satisfaction at YepYoga
    👉 This is a dummy showcase based on a real project. The yoga chain setting is fictional. You can view the live version here (‘wake up’ if needed). Please note that the multiple regression results differ from those in the article because the data in the script are generated randomly. Summary In 2025, student surveys…
  • Hoe het RIVM de verwachte sterfte berekent
    Magic black box of zuivere wiskunde? Elk jaar in juli publiceert het RIVM de verwachte sterfte. Dit jaar valt die lager uit dan verwacht, terwijl de werkelijke sterfte juist stijgt. Dat roept vragen op: hoe werkt dit algoritme eigenlijk? Wordt het aangepast wegens een bepaald agenda? Ik heb al eerder over deze verwachtingen geschreven en…
  • Where Does the Sun Set? A Map, A Chart, and a Surprise
    I work at a campsite and I often enjoy the sunset. But it moves through time. so I was wondering, “Where exactly does the sun go down?”. If you follow my blog, you know that I didn’t just want to know. I wanted to see it, understand it, and visualize it. So I pulled out…
  • No More Handwritten Signs: A Streamlit Tool for Instant PDF Door Signs
    As a hospitality and leisure professional, I hate handwritten notes. So the first thing I do when I work in a new place is make a door sign like “We’ll be back in a minute.” But what if your colleague from another campsite sees it and wants one too? And then their colleague? I’m too…
  • Caesar’s Last Breath
    It sounds like something pulled from science fiction or a poetic metaphor: every time you breathe, you might be inhaling a molecule from Julius Caesar’s final exhale. But this idea is more than just a thought experiment — it’s grounded in probability, physics, and some surprisingly simple math. Let’s walk through how this works, why…
  • Using VIX to Trade the Market: What Works (and When)
    In the ever-evolving world of algorithmic trading, finding robust strategies that can weather different market conditions remains the holy grail for investors. Today, I want to share insights from my analysis of several VIX-based trading strategies that have gained attention in financial circles. What We’re Examining The strategies I’ve been testing use the CBOE Volatility…
  • The Mathematics of Guessing: Inside the Steve Ballmer Number Guessing Game
    On Instagram I saw a reel where Steve Ballmer, ex-CEO of Microsoft explained a game to an interviewer. I decided to see if it is a wining game or not. You can find the python code here How the Game Works Here’s what happens in the game: The money part is simple: guess right on…
  • De relatie tussen sterftecijfers, rioolwatermetingen en vaccinaties
    Summary This study examines the relationship between mortality rates, wastewater virus measurements, and COVID-19 vaccination levels during the pandemic. Using open data from CBS, Eurostat, and vaccination records, the analysis applies multiple linear regression, VIF tests, and interactive visualizations in Python. The results show a strong positive correlation between virus concentrations in wastewater and mortality,…
  • The Gamble of a Lifetime: Viager Real Estate in the Age of AI
    Viager Real Estate: Betting on Life and Death Imagine a real estate deal where your fortune depends on how long someone lives. It’s called “viager,” a centuries-old French practice where buyers and sellers gamble on life expectancy. Now, with the help of AI and advanced modeling, this risky bet is getting a modern twist. The…
  • Dust, Data, and Determination
    In the world of house cleaning, efficiency and thoroughness are key. But what happens when we apply data science and probability theory to this everyday task? This summer I was preparing mobile homes on a camping. During this work, different thoughts and questions came up. How many days would I need to see at least…
  • Low Excess Mortality Observed Using Quadratic Fitting in Mortality Trend Analysis
    Abstract This study presents a novel approach to analyzing excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic using quadratic curve fitting. By comparing linear and quadratic models applied to pre-pandemic mortality data, we demonstrate that quadratic fitting results in lower estimates of excess mortality for the years 2020 and beyond. This finding suggests that previous linear extrapolations…
  • How to be on part-time retirement with a minimum wage job
    There was an article in the Netherlands with people working only a part of the year and it was called part-time retirement. The thing with the article is that they only showed people with good income jobs and that helps definitely to do so. Well, you can do it with a salary slightly above minimum…
  • How to travel for less than 20 dollars a day
    Travel is the only thing you buy that makes you richer. But still it costs money. A lot of money. If you decide to travel a longer time, it’s not an endless amount of money, especially if you work only six months a year. Such a hard life! Still you can do it like I…
  • Scrub-a-Dub Data: Unveiling the Secrets of Spotless Spaces with Statistics
    In-Depth Analysis of Cleaning Times Using the Weibull Distribution Understanding and predicting cleaning times is essential for efficient resource management and operational planning. This article is about the application of the Weibull distribution for analyzing cleaning times, particularly focusing on predicting the maximum time needed to clean multiple accommodations with a high level of confidence….
  • LOESS is more
    Dit artikel behandelt het creëren van een trendlijn met behulp van de LOESS-methode, zoals toegepast door het KNMI. Besproken wordt hoe LOESS in Python kan worden toegepast. Lees ook het vervolg artikel From SMA to LOESS waarin ook de wiskunde achter deze methode wordt beschreven en uitgelegd LOESS, wat staat voor “Locally Estimated Scatterplot Smoothing,”…
  • De Grote Oversterftekloof: RIVM vs. CBS
    Inleiding De oversterfte tijdens de COVID-19-pandemie in Nederland is een belangrijk onderwerp van onderzoek geweest. Twee prominente instellingen, het Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu (RIVM) en het Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (CBS), hebben elk hun methoden ontwikkeld om de oversterfte te schatten en te analyseren. Vanaf afgelopen december heeft het RIVM het overgenomen van…
  • Bloggen met AI — een vergelijking
    Als oud medewerker van Vacansoleil ben ik bovengemiddeld interessant in de afwikkeling, dus ik heb me meteen verdiept in de faillisementsverslagen toen ze uitkwamen. Eindelijk was er ook eeen financieel verslag waar interessante informatie stond. Het was een puzzel met vier verschillende BV’s en verhullende teksten in de verslagen als “Curatoren volstaan met verwijzing naar…
  • The Mystery of the Disappearing Water
    Replication of Cumulative Rainfall Deficit Chart in the Netherlands On Twitter, a chart of the cumulative rainfall deficit was posted, presenting a challenge to replicate it. Rainfall deficit is an important metric in hydrology and agriculture, representing the difference between the amount of precipitation and evaporation. When evaporation exceeds precipitation, a rainfall deficit occurs, leading…
  • Waiting for the bus : the science behind waiting times
    Understanding Temporal Variability in Bus Arrival Times and Its Implications on Travel Planning Introduction Efficient public transportation is vital for urban areas, offering convenience and reducing environmental impact. However, unpredictable bus schedules pose challenges for commuters, making it difficult to arrive on time for appointments or connections. This study focuses on two bus lines that…
  • Analyzing Real Estate Investments: Considerations, Risks, and ROI Assessments
    In this analysis, we’re juxtaposing the Return on Investment (ROI) presented by brokers against the actual ROI. Brokers gauge the annual rent percentage (after deducting expenses) relative to the initial investment, giving ROI’s up to 20%. This evaluation spans the entire investment period, factoring in yearly rent increments. We’re exploring scenarios for both freehold and…
  • Sterfte vs temperatuur
    In een artikel van Marc Jacobs over oversterfte wordt een aanname van het CBS. De aanname is dat elke graad Celsius dat deze temperatuur hoger is dan de gemiddelde temperatuur in de week 3 tot en met 10 leidt tot 1 procent minder sterfte. Wanneer de temperatuur boven de 16,5 graad stijgt, neemt de sterfte…
  • Prolonged Lifespan: Is It Attributable to Meat Consumption or Other Factors?
    The article Total Meat Intake is Associated with Life Expectancy: A Cross-Sectional Data Analysis of 175 Contemporary Populations by You [*] examined the association between meat intake and life expectancy at a population level based on ecological data published by the United Nations agencies. Their results were Worldwide, bivariate correlation analyses revealed that meat intake…
  • Does rain predict rain — in the Netherlands
    The study of Chuck Connell has been replicated for the Netherlands. His main findings were Method I used Python to analyse the data. I used the code of Chuck as base, I optimized it and made it more pythonic (with the help of ChatGPT)and added some things.The interface and output is done with Streamlit and…
  • Dollar Cost Averaging or all-at-once?
    Last month, my roommate introduced me to the concept of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) in the context of Bitcoin with great enthusiasm. According to this strategy, consistently purchasing a fixed amount of Bitcoin every month would yield greater profitability compared to making a single lump-sum investment. Intrigued by this notion, I embarked on a quest…
  • Calculating the yield of solar panels
    I was inspired by a tweet from Karin van der Wiel where she plotted the yield of her solar system to a theoretical value.(*) I wanted to see if I could replicate it with the yield of solarpanels of a friend. I took the daily weather data of the KNMI from their site(*) and used…
  • Analyzing the graph of Theo Schetters
    On Twitter the following image is shared widely what should prove that the 4th vaccin is causing excess deaths. Let’s see if this is likely to be true Method Death numbers: Vaccination numbers This is done in Excel Results A graphic design program is used to compare the graphs of Schetters and the found values…
  • Calculation of Waning of Vaccin Effectiveness in the Netherlands
    Abstract Every 30 to 50 days, the Vaccin Effectiveness decreases with 10%-points. Introduction In several studies around the world, waning is seen for Vaccin Effectiveness (VE) for infection, hospital admission or death. The waning effect for infection is investigated. NotesMultiple research shows that the VE for severe disease, hospitalization and death remains high!This analysis has…